Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 12, 2025 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 29.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.9 free throws per game.
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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