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Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.9 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luguentz Dort has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile.

The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).

The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

Luguentz Dort has sunk 50.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% less than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the free-throw line: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.9 free throw attempts per game.

Luguentz Dort should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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