Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 5, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 4.0 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's made from three overall this year playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 15.6 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.
In comparison to last year's 2.0 rate, Luguentz Dort's number of foul shots has tailed off this year to 0.7 foul shots per game.
As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the league this year with a lowly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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