Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 26, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 3.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 9.9 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, creating a difficult matchup for offensive output.
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 0.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 74.2% lower than he's converted overall this season.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year with just 20.4 foul shot attempts per game.
Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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