Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 48.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% higher than he's made overall this season while at home.
Luguentz Dort has made 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on his home court.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 10.6 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 2.0 rate, Luguentz Dort's number of free throws has been reduced this season to 0.7 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

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