Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.0 foul shots per game.

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