Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:04 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have tallied 15.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.9 foul shots per game.

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