Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 6.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 28.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, designating this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (98th percentile).
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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