Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 1.8 3-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 29.0 minutes per game this year.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot prowess with a great 86.6% rate this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a hard one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (36.0%).
The Thunder have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 19.9 free throws per game.
Luguentz Dort should see a decline in output in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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