Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 54.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.
Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort rates in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 2.0 clip, Luguentz Dort's number of free throw attempts has diminished this season to 0.8 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).