Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 56.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 1.6 rate, Luguentz Dort's foul shots sunk have been reduced this season to 0.7 per game.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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