Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 46.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled 0.8 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Thunder check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort figures to see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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