Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2025 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 29.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Thunder have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 3.1 fouls per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have shot 33.3% on field goal attempts (worst in the league) vs. the Knicks, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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