Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 86th percentile for threes scored, registering 2.2 per game this year.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 29.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Celtics, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 24th percentile for shooting ability while playing at home with a lackluster 39.2% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game at home this year.
The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad (5th-least in the NBA).

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