Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.6 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Clippers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 22nd percentile for scoring proficiency with the home court advantage with a feeble 37.9% rate this year.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have notched 11.4 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling just 19.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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