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Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Thunder rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 44.8% of their 3-point attempts (97th percentile).

Luguentz Dort has successfully made a terrific 89.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 80.5 mark last season.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 16th percentile for shooting proficiency with an unimpressive 37.6% rate this year.

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile).

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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