Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Dec 14, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 82nd percentile for three-pointers sunk, averaging 2.1 per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort slots into the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The Thunder check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

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