Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 3:06 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The 3rd-fastest pace road offense in the league this year has been the Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 95.0% of his free throw attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has sunk 39.1% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (38.4%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort figures to see a decline in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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