Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has failed to convert 4.8 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed over the course of the year.
The Kings have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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