Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point shots made, posting 2.4 per game this year.
The Thunder have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort should get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (87th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.

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