Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort measures in the 80th percentile for three-pointers drained, posting 2.2 per game this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 115.4 points per game with the home court advantage places 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 96.4% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luguentz Dort will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 5th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (43.3%).
The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Terance Mann is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game (16th percentile).

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