Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:00 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 75th percentile for foul-shot efficiency away from home with an outstanding 93.8% rate this year.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance across the board.

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