Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 39.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 118.3 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have compiled 18.9 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Orlando is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.7 free throws per game this year when the Orlando Magic are on the road (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA at home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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