Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 6:17 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least three-pointers per game in the league this year (0.8).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production for all stats.