Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 6:32 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 28.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's stellar 122.5 points per game when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Luguentz Dort has converted 92.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).