Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Luguentz Dort has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the league).