Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 7:35 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 10.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Luguentz Dort has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 28.6 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's impressive 119.8 points per game measures as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, making it tough to draw fouls.
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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