Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 22, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
In regard to scoring, the Thunder's superb 124.0 points per game places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Luguentz Dort has converted 96.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 16.0% more than he's converted overall this season while at home.
Over the last 19 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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