Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has logged 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's logged in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 28.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Luguentz Dort has converted 96.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 16.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the league).