Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 84th percentile for three-point shots drained, compiling 2.0 per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 122.9 points per game as the home team measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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