Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 1.7 threes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 28.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
With respect to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 119.8 points per game rates 4th-most in the NBA this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.
Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have registered 13.3 points per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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