Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 1.7 three-point shots per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 28.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Thunder have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 11.9 clip, Luguentz Dort's shots from the field have dropped this year to 8.2 per game.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.9 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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