Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 1.8 threes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 28.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 120.2 points per game settles in as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 11.9 mark, Luguentz Dort's shots have regressed this season to 8.2 per game.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are playing at home (4th-least in the league).

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