Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 28.5 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 24 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied 18.4 points per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the 76ers, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 4th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort has sunk 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has attempted a lowly 8.2 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 11.9 mark last year.
Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 96th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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