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Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 121.2 points per game settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have scored 19.8 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Luguentz Dort has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (3rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luguentz Dort has attempted just 8.2 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 11.9 rate last year.

Luguentz Dort has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The matchup with Khris Middleton measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting SFs converting just 1.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year when they are on the away squad.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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