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Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luguentz Dort has attempted a measly 8.2 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 11.9 mark last season.

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.1 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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