Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.8 points per game rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 11.9 mark, Luguentz Dort's shots taken have tailed off this year to 8.3 per game.
Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort has sunk a lowly 1.4 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.7 rate last year.

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