Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 61.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 3rd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Luguentz Dort will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.7 fouls per game at home this year.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Luguentz Dort has sunk a mere 1.4 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.7 mark last season.
The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

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