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Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luguentz Dort has converted 50.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year.With respect to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 128.2 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 5 games.The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.The matchup against Houston is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.1%).The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).The Houston Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).In contrast to last season's 2.7 rate, Luguentz Dort's foul shots made have dropped this season to 1.5 per game.
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