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Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-111).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luguentz Dort has sunk 1.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.6 points per game measures as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (26th-most in the league) against the Raptors, designating this as a good matchup.The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game at home this year.Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).Compared to last season's 2.7 clip, Luguentz Dort's foul shots scored have declined this season to 1.6 per game.The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (12th-least in the NBA).
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