Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 9:24 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on the road.
In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.9 points per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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