Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.
Luguentz Dort ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 12.1 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, creating a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
Relative to last year's 2.7 mark, Luguentz Dort's free throws drained have diminished this year to 1.8 per game.

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