Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort slots into the 75th percentile for 3-point efficiency without the home court advantage with a a superb 38.6% rate this year.
The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.
The matchup against the Lakers is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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