Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 78th percentile for three-point proficiency on his home court with a an excellent 41.0% rate this year.
The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort figures to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 12.1 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.