Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:19 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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