Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has missed 4.1 field goal attempts per game this season, significantly lower than his 7.2 rate last season.
Relative to last season's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point ability has spiked this season to 45.4%.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 119.6 points per game measures as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Chicago Bulls are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (1.7).
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.

Favors Under

The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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