Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 32.1% clip, Luguentz Dort's 3-point effectiveness has risen this year to 46.4%.
In comparison to last year's 30.2 mark, Luguentz Dort's playing time has spiked this year to 32.0 minutes per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 116.6 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 7th-highest in the league this year.
The 3rd-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 11.9 rate, Luguentz Dort's field goal attempts have been reduced this year to 8.6 per game.
Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.5 fouls per game last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have notched 12.4 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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