Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 32.1% clip, Luguentz Dort's 3-point ability has increased this year to 47.7%.
When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 120.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 2nd-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has attempted a lowly 8.8 field goals per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 11.9 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 0.0 clip, Luguentz Dort's technical fouls have risen this year to 0.1 per game.
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one; when the San Antonio Spurs are on their home court, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (9.0).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, finding it difficult to draw fouls.