Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have averaged 46.5% on shot attempts from the field (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 6thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort rates in the 82nd percentile for drawing fouls, registering a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 79th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off the mark field goals, tallying a massive 6.9 per game since the start of last season.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
With respect to shooting, the Thunder's lackluster 46.6% field goal rate while playing on the road ranks 7th-lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 11.1 field goal attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league this year (the Warriors).