Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort lands in the 84th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home, tallying 5.7 per game since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 6thbest in in the league as the road team with 11.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
On the road, the Pelicans have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luguentz Dort will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has failed to make 6.9 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the league in this category: 80th percentile for misses .
Luguentz Dort has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's poor 46.6% field goal percentage as the away team ranks 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SFs have shot 29.5% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a hard matchup.
The matchup against New Orleans is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team (7th-least in the league).